xG Regression Radar
Spot players over/underperforming their expected goals. Past returns ≠ future returns. New to xG? Read the guide →
How to read this:
A player with more goals than their xG got lucky / clinical — they may regress downward. Fewer goals than xG = unlucky, due a positive bounce. The deltas combine goals+assists vs xG+xA.
📉 Overperformers
| Player | Pos | Goals / xG | Asst / xA | Over by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No clear overperformers right now. | ||||
📈 Underperformers
| Player | Pos | Goals / xG | Asst / xA | Under by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No clear underperformers right now. | ||||
Caveat: xG models don't capture everything. Elite finishers (Haaland, M. Salah at peak) consistently outperform xG due to shot quality. Treat these lists as a starting point, not a strict rule.
